Whenever we decide to go out, we always check the forecast for the day. We usually do this on the news channels or with the help of our mobile phones. It helps us decide if we need an umbrella for the day or if we need our sunglasses. The weather forecast even notifies people of certain weather events well into the future so that they can prepare themselves for it. It has made our lives so easy, but have you ever wondered how the news channels know what the weather is going to be like?
How does it work?
The answer to this timeless question lies in mathematics and observational data. Various sources, such as weather stations, satellites, sea buoys, commercial airliners and ships gather data all around the world. Yes, even your airplane is a source of data! In total, billions of observations are made every single day.
What is this ‘observational data’?
Many of you must be wondering what ‘observational data’ actually means. It is a list of things that affect the weather in one way or another. However, keep in mind that everything has its own significance.
Temperature and Humidity
One of the things that we observe on a day-to-day basis is temperature. An increase in temperature is most likely to cause a direct increase in evaporation. This will result in a high amount of humidity, which increases the chances of rain, hail or snow.
Pressure and Winds
The next two things are pressure and wind. According to the level of pressure, the regions come in two types – high-pressure regions and low-pressure regions. High-pressure regions have air with high density and vice versa. Now, we know that things always move from high-density areas to low-density areas. Similarly, winds start flowing from high-pressure regions to low-pressure regions. The speed is decided by the difference in pressure. If the difference is large, the speed will be faster. The variation in temperature between these two regions also has notable effects, leading to regular rainfall/snowfall, or in some cases, thunderstorms/tornadoes.
If you observe a glass of cold water in the sun or the grass on your lawn, you can clearly see water droplets on them. These drops of water are called ‘dew’ or condensation. When the temperature is low enough, the air becomes saturated with water vapor. At that point, we start to see water on the surface of glasses or windows. The temperature at which this event occurs is called the ‘dew point’. Thus, on any given day, if the temperature and dew point are close, it leads to a higher amount of water vapor. A higher amount of water vapor leads to high humidity, which further affects the weather.
Analyzing the factors can be difficult and the weather will always remain somewhat unpredictable. Even so, our understanding of weather patterns has greatly improved. This has helped us enhance the accuracy of our forecasting and has made life around the world much easier!
- United States Search & Rescue Task Force
- Challenger Learning Center – Wheeling Jesuit University
- National Ocean And Atmospheric Administration