Asteroid mining would be an opportunity to derive enormous resources from the celestial objects around our planet. The person who taps such a valuable proposition could become the first trillionaire in human history.
There was once a time when a King and his compatriots were the richest people in their lands. However, the rise of nation-states and the Industrial Revolution shifted this power to capitalists, who made their money by manufacturing and selling useful commodities to the common folk.
The mechanization of labor and the advent of powerful new technologies like steam and electricity minted tycoons who ushered in the era of the modern world, a world populated with factories, cars, long-distance communication capacities and countless other consumer goods that made life comfortable. These tycoons made vast fortunes by creating corporations that continued to carry out their vision long after they died.
The next rush of wealth was triggered by the Digital Revolution, as billions of dollars have been made by solving problems via the internet. Online technology has disrupted every field, from finance and medicine to construction, transportation and even dating! Not surprisingly, Jeff Bezos, the creator of the digital marketplace Amazon, is the richest man in the world and the first person in modern history to have more than $100 billion dollars in net worth.
But who will be the first person to cross the trillion-dollar mark? Well, the answer lies in the skies. Celestial objects like asteroids hold huge amounts of precious metals within them, meaning that the first group of people able to reach them will make some serious cash. How could this come about and how far away from this reality are we? Let’s find out!
Predictions about the First Trillionaire
The talk about asteroid mining making the first trillionaire has been in the mainstream news for quite some time now. In an interview with Neil deGrasse Tyson, the astrophysicist and science communicator remarked that the first person to be a trillionaire would be “the person who exploits the resources of space”.
Texas senator Ted Cruz passed a bill to increase funding for NASA in 2018 and said, “I’ll make a prediction now. The first trillionaire will be made in space.” Peter Diamandis made a similar claim in 2008 and has doubled down on it by founding space-oriented companies like Space Adventure and Planetary Resources.
However, even before these claims, space mining initially captured the imaginations of millions through science fiction, with the first mention of it in a story by Garrett P. Serviss, Edison’s Conquest of Mars. Many movies have had extraterrestrial mining as a part of the plot, including Ridley Scott’s Alien and The Expanse books, which later became a popular series on the Syfy Network.
The Purpose of Mining Asteroids
Currently, competition on Earth is driven by scarcity, as there is a finite amount of mineable resources on the planet. This makes asteroid mining very attractive, as tons of precious resources could be extracted for activities here on Earth, while also helping to create new frontiers in space.
According to one report, due to Earth’s increasing population and our subsequent increase in consumption, the resources we use to fulfill this consumption in developing and developed countries will run out in the next 50 to 60 years. The materials with the most potential for running out, according to the report, are gold, copper, zinc, tin, lead, phosphorous, antimony and indium. One response to this approaching problem is to mine Near-Earth Objects (NEO) for these same valuable resources, while the water from these icy objects could be used as a fuel proponent in space habitats and orbiting propellant depots.
When looking at this from an astrobiological perspective, searching for and mining asteroids could provide valuable scientific data in our search for extraterrestrial life forms. If an advanced civilization in the past had mined asteroids, then we would see the signs! In any case, it would make human civilization an even more advanced life form, capable of becoming a multi-planetary species that can garner resources from worlds other than their parent planet.
The Feasibility of Mining Asteroids
For asteroid mining to work, the economics of such an endeavor would have to be lucrative enough for companies to take the leap and begin to explore asteroids for resources. This is not only in the financial sense, but also in terms of the technology needed to create a sophisticated space infrastructure for the detection, manipulation, and extraction of precious metals by either mining and transporting the goods, or by changing the orbit of the asteroid entirely.
Consider Platinum, a metal that is somewhat rare here on Earth, but would be found in abundance in a celestial body. In 2012, Planetary Resources claimed that a 30-meter long asteroid could carry platinum worth as much as $24-50 billion dollars. This fact was astutely commented on by an economist who stated that the sudden abundance of such a precious metal would lead to a drop in the price, which would make the endeavor unviable.
On the other hand, consider Nickel, which is quite abundant on Earth. The mining of such metal from asteroids would be unfeasible, given the high cost of such an endeavor and the mineral’s relative low cost here on Earth.
However, let’s assume that an asteroid is found with precious enough resources on it to justify the feasibility. The next step would be to figure out the options for mining and subsequently using the resources at hand. One option is to bring the materials mined from the asteroids directly back to Earth for processing and consumption. This would take much more energy to transport such high quantities back home.
Another option is to process the materials on the asteroids themselves and bring back only the high-value materials, which would decrease the energy demand of the return mission. Such an approach would require setting up advanced processing units on the extraterrestrial world itself.
Now, there is a third alternative, in which the asteroids could be safely brought back into the orbit of Earth, the Moon or the ISS. This method would allow for the efficient use of the materials and reduce subsequent wastage. It would require heavy investment to create the appropriate space infrastructure for such a venture, but this option would perhaps see the most return on investment. Companies are already developing ‘space tugs’, which NASA calls the “workhouse of the solar system”, to redirect asteroids.
Current and Future initiative to Mine Asteroids
The latest in the news of satellites reaching asteroids was Hayabusa2, a mission by JAXA (The Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency), which successfully landed their target satellite in 2018. The mission aims to return with samples from the asteroid.
There are multiple ongoing and future missions by NASA to land on and return with samples from asteroids. This includes the OSIRIS-Rex, which was launched in 2016, and the VIPER rover, which is planned to be deployed in 2022 for locating possible resources on the Moon.
Planet Resources, a company founded by Peter Diamandis and Eric Anderson, aims to ‘expand Earth’s natural resource base’. They plan to do this by developing the necessary technology for asteroid mining and have already developed satellites to probe the skies for potential asteroids.
To create the infrastructure we would need to successfully mine asteroids in the future, many companies must come together and specialize in a particular niche. Fortunately for us, this seems to be happening. Along with cheap and usable rockets provided by SpaceX and other companies in the race, it’s not too farfetched to think about a future where you may get your products from resources of multiple places in our solar system.
Who knows… the first trillionaire might already be among us!